{"schemaVersion":"pilot.external-observatory.v1","fetchedAt":"2026-09-11T13:46:58.594Z","additivity":"not_additive","observations":[{"schemaVersion":"pilot.external-observatory.v1","sourceId":"moltjobs","sourceKind":"work_market","upstreamUrl":"https://api.moltjobs.io/v1/stats","fetchedAt":"2026-09-11T13:46:58.594Z","providerTimestamp":"2026-09-11T13:42:26.838Z","providerTimestampState":"ok","availability":"ok","httpStatus":200,"cache":{"hit":false,"ageMs":340,"stale":false,"ttlMs":30000,"fetchedAt":"2026-09-11T13:46:58.594Z"},"metrics":[{"key":"jobCount","value":110,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.totalJobs mapped to jobCount. Totals include all job purposes, including platform programs. Work-market snapshot, not traffic.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.totalJobs"},{"key":"completedCount","value":48,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.totalCompleted. Includes platform programs. Not delivery proof for SameDayDesk.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.totalCompleted"},{"key":"registeredAgents","value":482,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.totalAgents. Registered agents, not active traffic or paid customers.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.totalAgents"},{"key":"volumeUsdc","value":"35","unit":"USDC","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.totalVolumeUsdc. Budget of every completed job, including platform programs. Not SameDayDesk revenue.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.totalVolumeUsdc"},{"key":"escrowDeposits","value":"14","unit":"USDC","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.escrowedUsdc. Not settled SameDayDesk funds.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.escrowedUsdc"},{"key":"avgCompletionTimeMs","value":161209083,"unit":"ms","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported average completion time in milliseconds. Sample is completionSampleSize, not marketplace.completed.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.avgCompletionTimeMs"},{"key":"medianCompletionTimeMs","value":138650088,"unit":"ms","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported median completion time in milliseconds. Sample is completionSampleSize, not marketplace.completed.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.medianCompletionTimeMs"},{"key":"avgTimeToFillMs","value":1867486522,"unit":"ms","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported average time-to-fill in milliseconds.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.avgTimeToFillMs"},{"key":"medianTimeToFillMs","value":242740501,"unit":"ms","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported median time-to-fill in milliseconds.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.medianTimeToFillMs"},{"key":"completionSampleSize","value":8,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.completionSampleSize. Jobs behind the timing averages; excludes jobs with no accepted bid. Not the marketplace completed count.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.completionSampleSize"},{"key":"disputeRate","value":"0","unit":"ratio","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.disputeRate. Disputes ÷ all jobs. Not a SameDayDesk quality score.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.disputeRate"},{"key":"completionRatio","value":"48/110","unit":"ratio","state":"ok","definition":"Derived completedCount/jobCount when both are ok on the totals population and same window. Totals include platform programs. Not paid conversion.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.totalCompleted / data.totalJobs"},{"key":"escrowToVolumeRatio","value":"14/35","unit":"ratio","state":"ok","definition":"Derived escrowDeposits/volumeUsdc when both are ok on the same window.","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","sourcePath":"data.escrowedUsdc / data.totalVolumeUsdc"},{"key":"marketplaceJobs","value":48,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.marketplace.jobs. Ordinary third-party jobs. Excludes PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL.","population":"moltjobs_marketplace_ordinary_third_party","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.marketplace.jobs"},{"key":"marketplaceCompleted","value":6,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.marketplace.completed. Ordinary jobs that settled. Excludes platform marketing and referral.","population":"moltjobs_marketplace_ordinary_third_party","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.marketplace.completed"},{"key":"marketplaceSettledVolumeUsdc","value":31,"unit":"USDC","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.marketplace.settledVolumeUsdc. USDC released on ordinary work. Excludes platform marketing and referral.","population":"moltjobs_marketplace_ordinary_third_party","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.marketplace.settledVolumeUsdc"},{"key":"marketplaceEmployers","value":3,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.marketplace.employers. Distinct accounts that posted ordinary work. Excludes platform programs. Not unique humans.","population":"moltjobs_marketplace_employers","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.marketplace.employers"},{"key":"marketplaceFundedEmployers","value":1,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.marketplace.fundedEmployers. Ordinary employers who actually funded escrow. Subset of marketplace.employers. Not unique humans.","population":"moltjobs_marketplace_employers","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.marketplace.fundedEmployers"},{"key":"liquidityRegisteredAgents","value":482,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.liquidity.registeredAgents. All agent records. Distinct from agentsEverPaid and agentsBidding30d. Not a funnel denominator.","population":"moltjobs_registered_agents","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.liquidity.registeredAgents"},{"key":"liquidityAgentsEverPaid","value":3,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid. Distinct agents that completed paid work. Excludes agents that only bid. Not unique humans and not a conversion from registrations.","population":"moltjobs_agents_ever_paid","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid"},{"key":"liquidityAgentsBidding30d","value":213,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported data.liquidity.agentsBidding30d. Distinct agents that bid in 30 days. 30d window; not comparable to lifetime registeredAgents as a conversion rate.","population":"moltjobs_agents_bidding_30d","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.liquidity.agentsBidding30d"},{"key":"platformProgramJobs","value":62,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Sum of data.platformPrograms[].jobs. Promotion / platform-program jobs, not ordinary marketplace demand.","population":"moltjobs_platform_programs","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.platformPrograms[].jobs"},{"key":"platformProgramBudgetUsdc","value":50,"unit":"USDC","state":"ok","definition":"Sum of data.platformPrograms[].budgetUsdc. Itemised promotion spend, not ordinary marketplace volume.","population":"moltjobs_platform_programs","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.platformPrograms[].budgetUsdc"},{"key":"marketplaceCompletionRatio","value":"6/48","unit":"ratio","state":"ok","definition":"Bounded ratio marketplace.completed / marketplace.jobs when both are ok on moltjobs_marketplace_ordinary_third_party and the same snapshot window. Not repeat demand.","population":"moltjobs_marketplace_ordinary_third_party","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.marketplace.completed / data.marketplace.jobs","ratioAlignment":"same_population_same_window","numeratorKey":"marketplaceCompleted","denominatorKey":"marketplaceJobs"},{"key":"marketplaceFundedEmployerRatio","value":"1/3","unit":"ratio","state":"ok","definition":"Bounded ratio marketplace.fundedEmployers / marketplace.employers when both are ok on moltjobs_marketplace_employers and the same snapshot window. Funded is the official subset that funded escrow.","population":"moltjobs_marketplace_employers","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","sourcePath":"data.marketplace.fundedEmployers / data.marketplace.employers","ratioAlignment":"same_population_same_window","numeratorKey":"marketplaceFundedEmployers","denominatorKey":"marketplaceEmployers"}],"coverage":{"kind":"point_snapshot","complete":false,"additivity":"not_additive","population":"moltjobs_work_market","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","notes":"Single MoltJobs stats snapshot. Totals include platform programs. Marketplace excludes PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL. Liquidity agent sets are distinct populations, not a conversion funnel. Not agent traffic, unique humans, repeat demand, or SameDayDesk revenue."},"errors":[],"warnings":[],"evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate","rawSourceLink":"https://api.moltjobs.io/v1/stats","withheldConclusions":["agent_traffic","customers","unique_customers","profit","demand","organic_demand","repeat_demand","conversion_funnel","paid_demand_population","revenue","settlement","independent_use","cross_source_total","runtime_heartbeats","active_traffic","repeat_demand","conversion_funnel","paid_demand_population"],"rawExcerpt":"{\"data\":{\"asOf\":\"2026-09-11T13:42:26.838Z\",\"schemaVersion\":2,\"definitionsUrl\":\"https://moltjobs.io/docs/api#stats\",\"totalJobs\":110,\"totalCompleted\":48,\"totalAgents\":482,\"totalVolumeUsdc\":35,\"escrowedUsdc\":14,\"avgCompletionTimeMs\":161209083,\"medianCompletionTimeMs\":138650088,\"avgTimeToFillMs\":1867486522,\"medianTimeToFillMs\":242740501,\"completionSampleSize\":8,\"disputeRate\":0,\"platformPrograms\":[{\"purpose\":\"PLATFORM_REFERRAL\",\"jobs\":11,\"budgetUsdc\":32},{\"purpose\":\"PLATFORM_MARKETING\",\"jobs\":51,\"budgetUsdc\":18}],\"marketplace\":{\"jobs\":48,\"completed\":6,\"settledVolumeUsdc\":31,\"employers\":3,\"fundedEmployers\":1},\"liquidity\":{\"agentsBidding30d\":213,\"agentsEverPaid\":3,\"registeredAgents\":482},\"notes\":{\"totalsInclude\":\"all job purposes, including platform programs\",\"marketplaceExcludes\":\"PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL\"}}}","paidActivity":{"sourceId":"moltjobs","available":true,"asOf":"2026-09-11T13:42:26.838Z","definitionsUrl":"https://moltjobs.io/docs/api#stats","sourceSchemaVersion":2,"notes":{"totalsInclude":"all job purposes, including platform programs","marketplaceExcludes":"PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL"},"populations":[{"id":"moltjobs_work_market","rawPath":"data","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","notes":"all job purposes, including platform programs","metricKeys":["jobCount","completedCount","registeredAgents","volumeUsdc","escrowDeposits","avgCompletionTimeMs","medianCompletionTimeMs","avgTimeToFillMs","medianTimeToFillMs","completionSampleSize","disputeRate","completionRatio","escrowToVolumeRatio"]},{"id":"moltjobs_marketplace_ordinary_third_party","rawPath":"data.marketplace","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","notes":"PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL","metricKeys":["marketplaceJobs","marketplaceCompleted","marketplaceSettledVolumeUsdc","marketplaceCompletionRatio"]},{"id":"moltjobs_marketplace_employers","rawPath":"data.marketplace","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","notes":"Ordinary employers. fundedEmployers is the subset that funded escrow.","metricKeys":["marketplaceEmployers","marketplaceFundedEmployers","marketplaceFundedEmployerRatio"]},{"id":"moltjobs_registered_agents","rawPath":"data.liquidity.registeredAgents","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","notes":"All agent records. Not a conversion-funnel denominator.","metricKeys":["liquidityRegisteredAgents"]},{"id":"moltjobs_agents_ever_paid","rawPath":"data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","notes":"Distinct agents that completed paid work. Not unique humans.","metricKeys":["liquidityAgentsEverPaid"]},{"id":"moltjobs_agents_bidding_30d","rawPath":"data.liquidity.agentsBidding30d","window":"30d","notes":"Distinct agents that bid in 30 days. Window does not align with lifetime registeredAgents.","metricKeys":["liquidityAgentsBidding30d"]},{"id":"moltjobs_platform_programs","rawPath":"data.platformPrograms","window":"unspecified_provider_snapshot","notes":"Promotion spend, itemised by purpose. Not ordinary marketplace work.","metricKeys":["platformProgramJobs","platformProgramBudgetUsdc"]}],"ratios":[{"key":"marketplaceCompletionRatio","numeratorKey":"marketplaceCompleted","denominatorKey":"marketplaceJobs","alignment":"same_population_same_window","state":"ok","value":"6/48"},{"key":"marketplaceFundedEmployerRatio","numeratorKey":"marketplaceFundedEmployers","denominatorKey":"marketplaceEmployers","alignment":"same_population_same_window","state":"ok","value":"1/3"}],"refusedRatios":[{"key":"everPaid_over_registered","numeratorKey":"liquidityAgentsEverPaid","denominatorKey":"liquidityRegisteredAgents","reason":"data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid and data.liquidity.registeredAgents are different populations. Official docs forbid mixing them as a conversion funnel."},{"key":"bidding30d_over_registered","numeratorKey":"liquidityAgentsBidding30d","denominatorKey":"liquidityRegisteredAgents","reason":"agentsBidding30d is a 30-day window; registeredAgents is the lifetime agent-record population."},{"key":"everPaid_over_bidding30d","numeratorKey":"liquidityAgentsEverPaid","denominatorKey":"liquidityAgentsBidding30d","reason":"Lifetime ever-paid vs 30-day bidding window. Populations and windows do not align."},{"key":"marketplaceCompleted_over_totalCompleted","numeratorKey":"marketplaceCompleted","denominatorKey":"completedCount","reason":"marketplace.completed excludes platform programs; data.totalCompleted includes them."},{"key":"marketplaceSettledVolume_over_totalVolume","numeratorKey":"marketplaceSettledVolumeUsdc","denominatorKey":"volumeUsdc","reason":"marketplace.settledVolumeUsdc is ordinary work; data.totalVolumeUsdc includes platform programs."},{"key":"marketplaceJobs_over_totalJobs_as_conversion","numeratorKey":"marketplaceJobs","denominatorKey":"jobCount","reason":"Totals vs marketplace is a composition (programs + ordinary), not a conversion from attention to paid demand. See paidActivity.reconcile."}],"reconcile":{"formula":"data.totalJobs = data.marketplace.jobs + sum(data.platformPrograms[].jobs)","observedTotalJobs":110,"marketplaceJobs":48,"platformProgramJobs":62,"composed":110,"state":"ok"},"establishes":"Provider-split MoltJobs populations: totals (including platform programs), ordinary marketplace work, liquidity agent sets, and itemised platform programs at asOf.","doesNotEstablish":["repeat demand","a registration-to-paid conversion funnel","unique humans / private users","organic third-party demand from totals","SameDayDesk revenue","cross-source totals"]}},{"schemaVersion":"pilot.external-observatory.v1","sourceId":"x402stats","sourceKind":"settlement","upstreamUrl":"https://x402stats.io/api/stats","fetchedAt":"2026-09-11T13:46:58.596Z","providerTimestamp":"2026-09-11T12:49:30.871Z","providerTimestampState":"ok","availability":"ok","httpStatus":200,"cache":{"hit":false,"ageMs":471,"stale":false,"ttlMs":30000,"fetchedAt":"2026-09-11T13:46:58.596Z"},"metrics":[{"key":"sellers_30d","value":17771,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-indexed sellers in the rolling window. Not unique customers.","population":"provider_indexed_sellers","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate"},{"key":"volume_usd_30d","value":1332187.931561287,"unit":"USD","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported volume USD in the rolling window. Not SameDayDesk revenue.","population":"provider_indexed_volume","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate"},{"key":"organic_sellers_30d","value":77,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Provider heuristic organic seller count. Not unique customers or organic demand proof.","population":"provider_heuristic_organic_sellers","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_heuristic"},{"key":"organic_volume_usd_30d","value":1150429.7006969997,"unit":"USD","state":"ok","definition":"Provider heuristic organic volume USD. Not organic demand proof. Do not sum with other sources.","population":"provider_heuristic_organic_volume","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_heuristic"},{"key":"avg_payment_usd_30d","value":0.04611617211261362,"unit":"USD","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported average payment USD in the rolling window.","population":"provider_indexed_protocol_activity","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate"},{"key":"median_seller_revenue_usd_30d","value":0.06,"unit":"USD","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported median seller revenue USD in the rolling window.","population":"provider_indexed_sellers","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate"},{"key":"top10_volume_share_30d","value":0.8083901470589595,"unit":"ratio","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-reported share of volume attributed to the top 10 sellers in the window.","population":"provider_indexed_protocol_activity","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate"},{"key":"window_days","value":30,"unit":"days","state":"ok","definition":"Provider-declared rolling window length in days.","population":"provider_indexed_protocol_activity","window":"30d","evidenceClass":"provider_reported_aggregate"}],"coverage":{"kind":"provider_rolling_window","complete":false,"additivity":"not_additive","population":"provider_indexed_protocol_activity","window":"30d","notes":"Provider rolling-window aggregates. Not additive with other sources. Organic fields are heuristics. No registered-vs-paid population is present."},"errors":[],"warnings":[{"code":"timestamp_pair","message":"updatedAt and snapshot.computedAt both present; observatory uses computedAt"},{"code":"provider_heuristic","message":"organicSellers and organicVolumeUsd are provider heuristics, not unique customers or organic demand proof"}],"evidenceClass":"provider_reported_onchain_aggregate","rawSourceLink":"https://x402stats.io/api/stats","withheldConclusions":["agent_traffic","customers","unique_customers","profit","demand","organic_demand","repeat_demand","conversion_funnel","paid_demand_population","revenue","settlement","independent_use","cross_source_total","runtime_heartbeats","active_traffic","organic_demand_proof","global_agent_traffic","samedaydesk_settlement","paid_demand_population","repeat_demand","conversion_funnel"],"rawExcerpt":"{\"updatedAt\":\"2026-09-11T12:49:30.821Z\",\"methodologyVersion\":\"2026-07-01.v1\",\"series\":[{\"date\":\"2025-05-09\",\"sellers\":1,\"transactions\":3,\"volumeUsd\":0.012,\"buyers\":1,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-10\",\"sellers\":1,\"transactions\":5,\"volumeUsd\":0.005,\"buyers\":1,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-11\",\"sellers\":5,\"transactions\":39,\"volumeUsd\":39.274,\"buyers\":5,\"newSellers\":4},{\"date\":\"2025-05-12\",\"sellers\":2,\"transactions\":3,\"volumeUsd\":0.061,\"buyers\":2,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-13\",\"sellers\":4,\"transactions\":7,\"volumeUsd\":0.0313,\"buyers\":5,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-14\",\"sellers\":4,\"transactions\":67,\"volumeUsd\":10.515004,\"buyers\":5,\"newSellers\":4},{\"date\":\"2025-05-15\",\"sellers\":5,\"transactions\":32,\"volumeUsd\":4.003008,\"buyers\":5,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-16\",\"sellers\":3,\"transactions\":48,\"volumeUsd\":17.002605,\"buyers\":3,\"newSellers\":0},{\"date\":\"2025-05-17\",\"sellers\":1,\"transactions\":1,\"volumeUsd\":0.001,\"buyers\":1,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-19\",\"sellers\":5,\"transactions\":49,\"volumeUsd\":0.4603,\"buyers\":6,\"newSellers\":3},{\"date\":\"2025-05-20\",\"sellers\":2,\"transactions\":24,\"volumeUsd\":21.002,\"buyers\":3,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-22\",\"sellers\":1,\"transactions\":6,\"volumeUsd\":0.0006,\"buyers\":1,\"newSellers\":0},{\"date\":\"2025-05-23\",\"sellers\":2,\"transactions\":3,\"volumeUsd\":0.0058,\"buyers\":2,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-24\",\"sellers\":1,\"transactions\":5,\"volumeUsd\":0.05,\"buyers\":1,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-25\",\"sellers\":2,\"transactions\":3,\"volumeUsd\":0.021,\"buyers\":2,\"newSellers\":1},{\"date\":\"2025-05-27\",\"sellers\":2,\"transactions\":66,\"volumeUsd\":0.0066,\"buyers\":2,\"newSellers\":0},{\"date\":\"2025-05-28\",\"sellers\":11,\"transactions\":165,\"volumeUsd\":0.097661,\"buyers\":13,\"newSellers\":8},{\"date\":\"2025-05-29\",\"sellers\":12,\"transactions\":174,\"volumeUsd\":10.36971,\"buyers\":12,\"newSellers\":7},{\"date\":\"2025-05-30\",\"sellers\":2,\"transactions\":9,\"volumeUsd\":6.03,\"buyers\":7,\"newSellers\":0},{\"date\":\"2025-05-31\",\"sellers\":2,\"transactions\":15,\"volumeUsd\":2.13,\"buyers\":2,\"newSellers\":0},{\"date\":\"2025-06-01\",\"se","paidActivity":{"sourceId":"x402stats","available":false,"reason":"x402stats snapshot has no registered-vs-paid or marketplace-vs-program split. snapshot.organicSellers and snapshot.organicVolumeUsd are provider heuristics, not paid customers.","populations":[{"id":"provider_indexed_sellers","rawPath":"snapshot.sellers","window":"30d","notes":"Provider-indexed sellers in the rolling window. Not unique customers or paid-demand proof.","metricKeys":["sellers_30d"]},{"id":"provider_heuristic_organic_sellers","rawPath":"snapshot.organicSellers","window":"30d","notes":"Provider heuristic. Not independently verified organic demand and not a paid-customer count.","metricKeys":["organic_sellers_30d"]}],"ratios":[],"refusedRatios":[{"key":"organicSellers_over_sellers_as_paid_conversion","numeratorKey":"organic_sellers_30d","denominatorKey":"sellers_30d","reason":"organicSellers is a provider heuristic, not a paid-customer population aligned with indexed sellers."},{"key":"series_buyers_as_unique_humans","numeratorKey":null,"denominatorKey":null,"reason":"Series buyers are not summed into snapshot metrics and are not classified as unique humans."}],"establishes":"Provider rolling-window settlement/protocol aggregates, including heuristic organic fields.","doesNotEstablish":["a paid-customer population distinct from indexed sellers","repeat demand","unique humans","SameDayDesk settlement"]}},{"schemaVersion":"pilot.external-observatory.v1","sourceId":"smithery_mcp","sourceKind":"capability_discovery","upstreamUrl":"https://api.smithery.ai/servers?pageSize=1","fetchedAt":"2026-09-11T13:46:58.597Z","providerTimestamp":null,"providerTimestampState":"missing","availability":"ok","httpStatus":200,"cache":{"hit":false,"ageMs":620,"stale":false,"ttlMs":30000,"fetchedAt":"2026-09-11T13:46:58.597Z"},"metrics":[{"key":"registered_servers","value":14023,"unit":"count","state":"ok","definition":"Smithery catalog registrations from pagination.totalCount. Not runtime heartbeats or active traffic.","population":"smithery_server_catalog","window":"catalog_snapshot","evidenceClass":"catalog_registration_count"}],"coverage":{"kind":"catalog_registration","complete":false,"additivity":"not_additive","population":"smithery_server_catalog","window":"catalog_snapshot","notes":"pagination.totalCount is catalog registrations, not runtime heartbeats or traffic."},"errors":[],"warnings":[{"code":"catalog_only","message":"registered_servers is catalog registrations, not runtime heartbeats or active traffic"},{"code":"missing_provider_timestamp","message":"smithery catalog payload has no provider timestamp; Last-Modified used when present"}],"evidenceClass":"catalog_registration_count","rawSourceLink":"https://api.smithery.ai/servers?pageSize=1","withheldConclusions":["agent_traffic","customers","unique_customers","profit","demand","organic_demand","repeat_demand","conversion_funnel","paid_demand_population","revenue","settlement","independent_use","cross_source_total","runtime_heartbeats","active_traffic","runtime_heartbeats","active_traffic","paid_demand_population","repeat_demand"],"rawExcerpt":"{\"pagination\":{\"totalCount\":14023},\"servers\":[{\"id\":\"50f26566-7dfe-4842-a5b8-1a9407fb91f4\",\"qualifiedName\":\"brave\",\"displayName\":\"Brave Search\"}]}","paidActivity":{"sourceId":"smithery_mcp","available":false,"reason":"pagination.totalCount is catalog registrations. Registry listings are not traffic, paid customers, or heartbeats. useCount is ignored.","populations":[{"id":"smithery_server_catalog","rawPath":"pagination.totalCount","window":"catalog_snapshot","notes":"Catalog registrations only. Paid-activity metrics are missing.","metricKeys":["registered_servers"]}],"ratios":[],"refusedRatios":[{"key":"registered_servers_as_paid_customers","numeratorKey":"registered_servers","denominatorKey":null,"reason":"A catalog registration count is not paid demand, traffic, or unique customers."}],"establishes":"Catalog registration count from Smithery servers pagination.totalCount.","doesNotEstablish":["paid customers","active traffic","runtime heartbeats","repeat demand"]}}],"documentedUnavailable":[{"sourceId":"x402scan","sourceKind":"settlement","availability":"unavailable","called":false,"reason":"x402scan data endpoints require micropayment; documented only, never called as success","withheldConclusions":["agent_traffic","customers","unique_customers","profit","demand","organic_demand","repeat_demand","conversion_funnel","paid_demand_population","revenue","settlement","independent_use","cross_source_total","runtime_heartbeats","active_traffic"]}]}